· Analysis updated 18:35 UTC
Viktoria Köln U19 vs Alemannia Aachen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.46 expected goals for Viktoria Köln U19 and 1.64 for Alemannia Aachen U19, a combined total of 4.10. That distribution gives Viktoria Köln U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Viktoria Köln U19 win
55.8% probability
Expected goals
2.46 – 1.64
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viktoria Köln U19 home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Alemannia Aachen U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Köln U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 19% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.46 goals for Viktoria Köln U19 and 1.64 for Alemannia Aachen U19, a combined 4.10 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.2%
- 3–16.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–16.7%
- 3–25.5%
Recent form
Viktoria Köln U19
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Osnabrück U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs RW Oberhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
Alemannia Aachen U19
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Elversberg U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Köln U19 win, at 55.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.