Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 509:00

0 – 0

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 20:19 UTC

Viktoria Plzeň U19 vs Hradec Králové U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Viktoria Plzeň U19 and 1.43 for Hradec Králové U19, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Viktoria Plzeň U19 win

50.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Viktoria Plzeň U19 home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hradec Králové U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viktoria Plzeň U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 22% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.98 goals for Viktoria Plzeň U19 and 1.43 for Hradec Králové U19, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Viktoria Plzeň U19 win50%
Draw22%
Hradec Králové U19 win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–19.3%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 1–06.5%

Recent form

Viktoria Plzeň U19

  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 6-0 (W)

Hradec Králové U19

  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň U19 win, at 50.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.