Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 308:30

5 – 1

Saturday, 22 August 2026

· Analysis updated 20:19 UTC

Viktoria Plzeň U19 vs Slavia Praha U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.50 expected goals for Viktoria Plzeň U19 and 0.94 for Slavia Praha U19, a combined total of 4.44. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Viktoria Plzeň U19 win

84.1% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.50 – 0.94

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Viktoria Plzeň U19 home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slavia Praha U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viktoria Plzeň U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 10% / 6% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.50 goals for Viktoria Plzeň U19 and 0.94 for Slavia Praha U19, a combined 4.44 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Viktoria Plzeň U19 win84%
Draw10%
Slavia Praha U19 win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

90%

Double chance X2

16%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals64%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 3–08.4%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 4–07.4%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 4–16.9%

Recent form

Viktoria Plzeň U19

  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 6-0 (W)

Slavia Praha U19

  • 2026-09-19T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lens U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T11:45:00.000Z · A vs Karviná U19 · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň U19 win, at 84.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.