Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 1409:30

09:30 UTC

Saturday, 7 November 2026

· Analysis updated 20:10 UTC

Viktoria Plzeň U19 vs Slovácko U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.61 expected goals for Viktoria Plzeň U19 and 1.22 for Slovácko U19, a combined total of 4.83. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Viktoria Plzeň U19 win

80.6% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.61 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Viktoria Plzeň U19 home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viktoria Plzeň U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 81% / 11% / 9% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.61 goals for Viktoria Plzeň U19 and 1.22 for Slovácko U19, a combined 4.83 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 85% and both teams to score at 68%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Viktoria Plzeň U19 win81%
Draw11%
Slovácko U19 win9%

Double chance 1X

92%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

19%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Over 3.5 goals70%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 3–17.6%
  • 4–16.9%
  • 2–16.4%
  • 3–06.3%
  • 4–05.7%

Recent form

Viktoria Plzeň U19

  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 6-0 (W)

Slovácko U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Liga U19 table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň U19 win, at 80.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.

    A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.