Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 1208:30

1 – 2

Saturday, 24 October 2026

Zlín U19DLWDW

· Analysis updated 09:20 UTC

Viktoria Plzeň U19 vs Zlín U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.30 expected goals for Viktoria Plzeň U19 and 1.48 for Zlín U19, a combined total of 4.78. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Viktoria Plzeň U19 win

72.6% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.30 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Viktoria Plzeň U19 home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zlín U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viktoria Plzeň U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 14% / 14% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.30 goals for Viktoria Plzeň U19 and 1.48 for Zlín U19, a combined 4.78 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Viktoria Plzeň U19 win73%
Draw14%
Zlín U19 win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

28%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Over 3.5 goals70%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 3–17.5%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 4–16.2%
  • 3–25.5%
  • 3–05.1%

Recent form

Viktoria Plzeň U19

  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 6-0 (W)

Zlín U19

  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Opava U19129121828
2Hradec Králové U19137421825
3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
5Dukla Praha U1912633721
6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
8Sparta Praha U1911515416
9Teplice U1911515-616
10České Budějovice U1911425714
11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
12Slovácko U1912318-1210
13Pardubice U1912228-158
14Zlín U1911227-178
15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
16Karviná U1912219-247

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň U19 win, at 72.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.

A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.