· Analysis updated 08:47 UTC
Viktoria Plzeň W vs Horní Heršpice W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.46 expected goals for Viktoria Plzeň W and 0.89 for Horní Heršpice W, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viktoria Plzeň W win
71.8% probability
Expected goals
2.46 – 0.89
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viktoria Plzeň W home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Horní Heršpice W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Plzeň W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 17% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.46 goals for Viktoria Plzeň W and 0.89 for Horní Heršpice W, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–08.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 3–17.7%
Recent form
Viktoria Plzeň W
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Horní Heršpice W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 1-0 (W)
Horní Heršpice W
- 2026-08-16T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Praha W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 21 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Prague Raptors W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 6 | Slovácko W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -16 | 7 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava W | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 8 | Horní Heršpice W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -25 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň W win, at 71.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.