Stadium Dobrany · Analysis updated 02:02 UTC
Viktoria Plzeň W vs Slovácko W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for Viktoria Plzeň W and 0.83 for Slovácko W, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viktoria Plzeň W win
71.8% probability
Expected goals
2.38 – 0.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viktoria Plzeň W home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Slovácko W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.5%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–09.1%
- 1–18.0%
Recent form
Viktoria Plzeň W
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Horní Heršpice W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 1-0 (W)
Slovácko W
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha W · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Prague Raptors W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-14T14:00:00.000Z · Viktoria Plzeň W 0-3 Slovácko W (1. Liga Women)
- 2025-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · Viktoria Plzeň W 0-4 Slovácko W (1. Liga Women)
- 2025-03-09T10:00:00.000Z · Viktoria Plzeň W 0-3 Slovácko W (1. Liga Women)
- 2024-10-20T13:30:00.000Z · Viktoria Plzeň W 1-2 Slovácko W (1. Liga Women)
- 2024-03-10T13:00:00.000Z · Viktoria Plzeň W 1-1 Slovácko W (1. Liga Women)
- 2023-09-16T11:30:00.000Z · Viktoria Plzeň W 0-2 Slovácko W (1. Liga Women)
- 2022-11-06T14:00:00.000Z · Viktoria Plzeň W 1-1 Slovácko W (1. Liga Women)
- 2022-09-10T13:00:00.000Z · Viktoria Plzeň W 0-2 Slovácko W (1. Liga Women)
- 2022-03-13T14:00:00.000Z · Viktoria Plzeň W 0-1 Slovácko W (1. Liga Women)
- 2021-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · Viktoria Plzeň W 0-3 Slovácko W (1. Liga Women)
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 27 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Slovácko W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 13 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 6 | Prague Raptors W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 8 | Horní Heršpice W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -29 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň W win, at 71.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.