· Analysis updated 07:40 UTC
Viktoria Plzeň W vs Slovan Liberec W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Viktoria Plzeň W and 2.45 for Slovan Liberec W, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Slovan Liberec W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Slovan Liberec W win
59.5% probability
Expected goals
1.45 – 2.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viktoria Plzeň W home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Slovan Liberec W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Liberec W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 22% / 19% / 60% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Viktoria Plzeň W and 2.45 for Slovan Liberec W, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.8%
- 1–37.2%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–26.4%
- 0–26.1%
Recent form
Viktoria Plzeň W
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Horní Heršpice W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 1-0 (W)
Slovan Liberec W
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosenborg W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha W · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 21 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Prague Raptors W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 6 | Slovácko W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -16 | 7 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava W | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 8 | Horní Heršpice W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -25 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slovan Liberec W win, at 59.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.