Stadium Viktoria Zizkov · Analysis updated 07:12 UTC
Viktoria Žižkov vs Vlašim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Viktoria Žižkov and 1.64 for Vlašim, a combined total of 2.87. That distribution gives Vlašim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Vlašim win
46.9% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.64
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viktoria Žižkov home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Vlašim away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vlašim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 29% / 24% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Viktoria Žižkov and 1.64 for Vlašim, a combined 2.87 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–27.6%
- 2–17.0%
Recent form
Viktoria Žižkov
- 2026-10-24T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hanácká · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Táborsko · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Třinec · 3-0 (W)
Vlašim
- 2026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Táborsko · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
FNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Vysočina Jihlava | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Dukla Praha | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Vlašim | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Příbram | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Slavia Praha II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Baník Ostrava II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Táborsko | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Kladno | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Opava | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Viktoria Žižkov | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 13 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Třinec | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Prostějov | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vlašim win, at 46.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.