Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Polissya II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Viktoriya Mykolaivka and 0.85 for Polissya II, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Viktoriya Mykolaivka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Viktoriya Mykolaivka win

62.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.90 – 0.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Viktoriya Mykolaivka home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Polissya II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoriya Mykolaivka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 22% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Viktoriya Mykolaivka and 0.85 for Polissya II, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Viktoriya Mykolaivka win62%

Draw22%

Polissya II win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score49%

Correct score

1–012.1%
2–011.5%
1–110.3%
2–19.8%
3–07.3%

Recent form

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

2026-10-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Metal Kharkiv · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Inhulets · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z · A vs UCSA · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-21T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyva Ternopil · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-14T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Oleksandria · 0-1 (L)

Polissya II

2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Poltava · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Probiy Horodenka · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kulykiv · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-03T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Kyiv · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-28T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolos Kovalivka II · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.

Persha Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	13	7	4	2	7	25
2	SK Poltava	13	7	3	3	13	24
3	Yarud Mariupol'	13	7	3	3	7	24
4	Oleksandria	13	6	5	2	8	23
5	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	12	7	2	3	5	23
6	Kulykiv	13	6	3	4	9	21
7	Nyva Ternopil	13	4	6	3	4	18
8	Lokomotiv Kyiv	13	4	5	4	1	17
9	Inhulets	12	5	2	5	-3	17
10	Prykarpattia	13	4	4	5	-2	16
11	Metal Kharkiv	13	4	3	6	-3	15
12	UCSA	13	3	5	5	-3	14
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	13	4	1	8	-10	13
14	Chernihiv	11	2	4	5	-4	10
15	Probiy Horodenka	13	2	3	8	-20	9
16	Polissya II	13	1	5	7	-9	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Viktoriya Mykolaivka win, at 62.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.