Prince Stadium · Analysis updated 16:03 UTC
Visakha vs Dangkor Senchey Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for Visakha and 1.45 for Dangkor Senchey, a combined total of 3.87. That distribution gives Visakha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Visakha win
58.9% probability
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Visakha home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Visakha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 19% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.42 goals for Visakha and 1.45 for Dangkor Senchey, a combined 3.87 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 70%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.9%
- 1–17.3%
- 3–17.1%
- 2–26.4%
- 2–06.1%
Recent form
Visakha
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Boeung Ket · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kompong Dewa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · A vs National Defense · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Svay Rieng · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-05-16T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey · 3-0 (W)
Dangkor Senchey
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Svay Rieng · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Boeung Ket · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-05-16T11:00:00.000Z · H vs National Defense · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Visakha · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Visakha win, at 58.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.