Areal Vista · Analysis updated 16:04 UTC
Vítkovice vs Slovácko II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Vítkovice and 1.18 for Slovácko II, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Vítkovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.0% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vítkovice home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slovácko II away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vítkovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 28% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Vítkovice and 1.18 for Slovácko II, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–27.7%
Recent form
Vítkovice
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Vrchovina · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Polanka nad Odrou · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nové Sady · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Havířov · 1-1 (D)
Slovácko II
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vsetín · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hranice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Karviná II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vítkovice · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - MSFL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Líšeň II | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 25 |
| 2 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Uničov | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Frýdek-Místek | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Hranice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Vítkovice | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Unie Hlubina | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 | Slovácko II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Uherský Brod | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Zlín II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Hodonín | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Vrchovina | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Karviná II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | Vsetín | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | Blansko | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 17 | Polanka nad Odrou | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Havířov | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -14 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.