Vittsjo · Referee C. Ekwall · Analysis updated 17:51 UTC
Vittsjö W vs Norrköping W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Vittsjö W and 1.00 for Norrköping W, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives Vittsjö W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vittsjö W win
46.1% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vittsjö W home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Norrköping W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.7%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–09.1%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–08.9%
Recent form
Vittsjö W
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Jitex W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kristianstad W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Häcken W · 0-4 (L)
Norrköping W
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Häcken W · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brommapojkarna W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hammarby W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Djurgården W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-24T17:00:00.000Z · Vittsjö W 1-1 Norrköping W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2025-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · Vittsjö W 0-2 Norrköping W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2025-03-22T14:00:00.000Z · Vittsjö W 1-1 Norrköping W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2024-09-28T13:00:00.000Z · Vittsjö W 1-1 Norrköping W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2024-05-18T13:00:00.000Z · Vittsjö W 1-2 Norrköping W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2023-11-05T14:00:00.000Z · Vittsjö W 1-0 Norrköping W (Damallsvenskan)
- 2023-05-21T11:00:00.000Z · Vittsjö W 2-1 Norrköping W (Damallsvenskan)
Damallsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Häcken W | 22 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 61 |
| 2 | Hammarby W | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 53 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 42 |
| 4 | Kristianstad W | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 | AIK W | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Vittsjö W | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna W | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Djurgården W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Eskilstuna United W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -10 | 27 |
| 10 | Piteå W | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 | Rosengård W | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 23 |
| 12 | Norrköping W | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -17 | 20 |
| 13 | Växjö W | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -20 | 18 |
| 14 | Uppsala W | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | -64 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vittsjö W win, at 46.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.