Myyrmaen jalkapallostadion · Analysis updated 16:37 UTC
VJS vs JJK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for VJS and 1.23 for JJK, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives VJS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
VJS win
53.7% probability
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
VJS home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
JJK away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates VJS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 22% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for VJS and 1.23 for JJK, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–16.2%
Recent form
VJS
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs TPV · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs KuPS Akatemia · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs KPV-j · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC jazz · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Inter Turku II · 2-1 (W)
JJK
- 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Tampere United · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs OLS · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SalPa · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KPV-j · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T15:30:00.000Z · A vs PKKU · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkönen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere United | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 50 |
| 2 | Rops | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 44 |
| 3 | SalPa | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | OLS | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | VJS | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | FC jazz | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 39 |
| 7 | PKKU | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 38 |
| 8 | JJK | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | TPV | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 10 | Inter Turku II | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -14 | 26 |
| 11 | KPV-j | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -48 | 18 |
| 12 | KuPS Akatemia | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 15 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is VJS win, at 53.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.