Vllaznia Shkodër vs Laci Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Vllaznia Shkodër and 2.25 for Laci, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Laci the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Laci win

64.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.05 – 2.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Vllaznia Shkodër home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Laci away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Vllaznia Shkodër win17%

Draw19%

Laci win64%

Double chance 1X

36%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

84%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals42%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–29.8%
0–29.3%
1–18.7%
0–18.3%
1–37.4%

Recent form

Vllaznia Shkodër

2026-10-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Tirana · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Teuta Durrës · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Laci · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-05T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Partizani · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · A vs AF Elbasani · 1-1 (D)

Laci

2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Tirana · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-07T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Këlcyra · 8-2 (W)
2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Tirana · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vllaznia Shkodër · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · Vllaznia Shkodër 3-0 Laci (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-04-27T13:30:00.000Z · Vllaznia Shkodër 1-1 Laci (Superliga)
2025-03-01T13:00:00.000Z · Vllaznia Shkodër 2-2 Laci (Superliga)
2024-12-14T15:00:00.000Z · Vllaznia Shkodër 2-1 Laci (Superliga)
2024-10-19T12:00:00.000Z · Vllaznia Shkodër 1-3 Laci (Superliga)
2024-04-13T16:00:00.000Z · Vllaznia Shkodër 1-2 Laci (Superliga)
2024-02-04T12:30:00.000Z · Vllaznia Shkodër 1-1 Laci (Superliga)
2023-11-24T16:00:00.000Z · Vllaznia Shkodër 0-0 Laci (Superliga)
2023-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · Vllaznia Shkodër 1-2 Laci (Superliga)
2023-05-25T14:00:00.000Z · Vllaznia Shkodër 1-1 Laci (Superliga)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Laci win, at 64.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.