· Analysis updated 08:44 UTC
Vocem vs Inter de Bebedouro Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.55 expected goals for Vocem and 1.20 for Inter de Bebedouro, a combined total of 1.75. That distribution gives Inter de Bebedouro the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 26% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Inter de Bebedouro win
52.1% probability
Expected goals
0.55 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vocem home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Inter de Bebedouro to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 17% / 31% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.55 goals for Vocem and 1.20 for Inter de Bebedouro, a combined 1.75 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 26% and both teams to score at 30%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 21%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–120.9%
- 0–017.4%
- 0–212.5%
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.6%
Recent form
Vocem
- 2026-04-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs São Caetano · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-03-28T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Joseense · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-03-25T23:00:00.000Z · A vs AEA · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-03-21T22:30:00.000Z · H vs EC Lemense · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-03-18T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Comercial · 1-3 (L)
Inter de Bebedouro
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Paulista - A4 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | Penapolense | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | São Caetano | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Grêmio Sãocarlense | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 | Barretos | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Taquaritinga | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Joseense | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | ECUS | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | EC Lemense | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Comercial | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Tanabi | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 12 | Jabaquara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Vocem | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Colorado Caieiras | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -14 | 10 |
| 15 | Nacional SP | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -15 | 8 |
| 16 | AEA | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | -31 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Inter de Bebedouro win, at 52.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 26%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.