Munzer Bioindustrie Sportpark Voitsberg · Referee E. Ristoskov · Analysis updated 14:53 UTC
Voitsberg vs Austria Salzburg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Voitsberg and 1.87 for Austria Salzburg, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Austria Salzburg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.7% probability
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.87
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Voitsberg home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Austria Salzburg away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austria Salzburg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 36% / 22% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Voitsberg and 1.87 for Austria Salzburg, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.8%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–17.7%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.1%
Recent form
Voitsberg
- 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Admira Wacker · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-02T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsberger AC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Salzburg · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Wacker Innsbruck · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz · 1-4 (L)
Austria Salzburg
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Voitsberg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-28T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SKN ST. Polten · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SV Kapfenberg · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | First Vienna | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Wacker Innsbruck | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Floridsdorfer AC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Austria Salzburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | SKU Amstetten | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Liefering | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Admira Wacker | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | SKN ST. Polten | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Voitsberg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Sturm Graz II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | WSPG Wels | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Rapid Wien II | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 6 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.