Munzer Bioindustrie Sportpark Voitsberg · Analysis updated 04:50 UTC
Voitsberg vs LASK Juniors Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.33 expected goals for Voitsberg and 0.95 for LASK Juniors, a combined total of 4.28. That distribution gives Voitsberg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Voitsberg win
82.2% probability
Expected goals
3.33 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Voitsberg home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
LASK Juniors away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Voitsberg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 82% / 11% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.33 goals for Voitsberg and 0.95 for LASK Juniors, a combined 4.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
93%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
18%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–08.5%
- 3–18.1%
- 2–07.7%
- 2–17.3%
- 4–07.1%
Recent form
Voitsberg
- 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Admira Wacker · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-02T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsberger AC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Salzburg · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Wacker Innsbruck · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz · 1-4 (L)
LASK Juniors
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gurten · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ried II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wals-Grünau · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Seekirchen · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs TSV St. Johann · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Mitte table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Voitsberg | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 92 | 80 |
| 2 | Gurten | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Oedt | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 30 | 55 |
| 4 | LASK Juniors | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 51 |
| 5 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Kalsdorf | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 49 |
| 7 | Velden | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | SV Lafnitz | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | -5 | 42 |
| 9 | Wallern / Marienkirchen | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | -7 | 40 |
| 10 | Weiz | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -5 | 39 |
| 11 | Wolfsberger AC II | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | Wohnbau Dietach | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -24 | 32 |
| 13 | Gleisdorf 09 | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -29 | 30 |
| 14 | Treibach | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | -36 | 24 |
| 15 | Ried II | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | -31 | 25 |
| 16 | St. Anna | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | -54 | 11 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Voitsberg win, at 82.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 82% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.