· Analysis updated 07:01 UTC
Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Vojvodina and 1.45 for FK Crvena Zvezda, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives FK Crvena Zvezda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.5% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vojvodina home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
FK Crvena Zvezda away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–17.6%
Recent form
Vojvodina
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnicki 1923 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki NIS · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Banja Luka · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zrinjski · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 1-1 (D)
FK Crvena Zvezda
- 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Beograd · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lucani · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z · A vs FC Lugano · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki 1923 · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-3 FK Crvena Zvezda (Super Liga)
- 2026-05-13T18:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 2-2 FK Crvena Zvezda (Cup)
- 2026-04-18T15:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-4 FK Crvena Zvezda (Super Liga)
- 2025-12-07T16:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda (Super Liga)
- 2025-10-30T17:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 3-2 FK Crvena Zvezda (Super Liga)
- 2025-05-21T16:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 0-3 FK Crvena Zvezda (Cup)
- 2025-05-11T17:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-1 FK Crvena Zvezda (Super Liga)
- 2025-03-29T18:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 3-5 FK Crvena Zvezda (Super Liga)
- 2024-11-03T16:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 0-3 FK Crvena Zvezda (Super Liga)
- 2024-05-21T18:15:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-2 FK Crvena Zvezda (Cup)
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 37 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Železničar Pančevo | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | IMT Novi Beograd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Cukaricki | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Mladost Lucani | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Radnik Surdulica | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Partizan | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | OFK Beograd | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Macva | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -18 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.