· Referee M. Jakovljevic · Analysis updated 16:38 UTC
Vojvodina vs Macva Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.25 expected goals for Vojvodina and 1.00 for Macva, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Vojvodina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vojvodina win
80.5% probability
Expected goals
3.25 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vojvodina home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Macva away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
20%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–08.2%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–07.5%
- 2–17.5%
- 4–06.6%
Recent form
Vojvodina
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Banja Luka · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zrinjski · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Partizan · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Zemun · 2-1 (W)
Macva
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lucani · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Železničar Pančevo · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnicki 1923 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Novi Pazar · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Radnicki NIS · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-03T17:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 2-0 Macva (Super Liga)
- 2021-05-09T12:30:00.000Z · Vojvodina 5-2 Macva (Super Liga)
- 2020-12-05T13:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-0 Macva (Super Liga)
- 2019-11-09T17:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-0 Macva (Super Liga)
- 2019-07-20T18:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 3-1 Macva (Super Liga)
- 2018-12-05T15:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-1 Macva (Super Liga)
- 2018-08-11T18:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 0-0 Macva (Super Liga)
- 2018-02-24T14:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-1 Macva (Super Liga)
- 2017-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-0 Macva (Super Liga)
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Radnicki 1923 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 | IMT Novi Beograd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Železničar Pančevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Cukaricki | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | OFK Beograd | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | FK Partizan | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Radnicki NIS | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Macva | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vojvodina win, at 80.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.