Serbia · Super Liga · Matchweek 1215:00
VojvodinaDWWDW

2 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

Karađorđe Stadium · Analysis updated 03:54 UTC

Vojvodina vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Vojvodina and 1.28 for Radnicki 1923, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Vojvodina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Vojvodina win

46.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Vojvodina home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Radnicki 1923 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Vojvodina to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 24% / 29% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.68 goals for Vojvodina and 1.28 for Radnicki 1923, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Vojvodina win47%
Draw24%
Radnicki 1923 win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–27.1%

Recent form

Vojvodina

  • 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnicki 1923 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki NIS · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Banja Luka · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zrinjski · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 1-1 (D)

Radnicki 1923

  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Beograd · 5-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lucani · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Macva · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki NIS · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super Liga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda1312102937
2Vojvodina139221629
3Železničar Pančevo12723923
4IMT Novi Beograd13634621
5Radnicki 192312624420
6Cukaricki13535-118
7Mladost Lucani13463-618
8Radnik Surdulica13454017
9Novi Pazar13445-116
10FK Partizan12327-411
11OFK Beograd13256-911
12Macva13247-1210
13Radnicki NIS12228-138
14Zemun13139-186

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Vojvodina win, at 46.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.