· Referee M. Stefanovic · Analysis updated 15:08 UTC
Vojvodina vs Zemun Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.55 expected goals for Vojvodina and 0.58 for Zemun, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Vojvodina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vojvodina win
80.1% probability
Expected goals
2.55 – 0.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vojvodina home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zemun away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vojvodina to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 80% / 14% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.55 goals for Vojvodina and 0.58 for Zemun, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
20%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–014.3%
- 3–012.1%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–18.2%
- 4–07.7%
Recent form
Vojvodina
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Banja Luka · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zrinjski · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Partizan · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Zemun · 2-1 (W)
Zemun
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Novi Pazar · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnik Surdulica · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Vojvodina · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T19:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Beograd · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2018-11-24T15:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 0-0 Zemun (Super Liga)
- 2018-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 1-1 Zemun (Super Liga)
- 2018-03-18T13:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 0-3 Zemun (Super Liga)
- 2017-10-14T13:00:00.000Z · Vojvodina 0-0 Zemun (Super Liga)
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Radnicki 1923 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 | IMT Novi Beograd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Železničar Pančevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Cukaricki | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | OFK Beograd | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | FK Partizan | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Radnicki NIS | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Macva | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vojvodina win, at 80.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.