Norway · NM Cupen · Round 114:00

2 – 6

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Volda stadion · Analysis updated 13:16 UTC

Volda vs Brattvåg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Volda and 1.64 for Brattvåg, a combined total of 3.82. That distribution gives Volda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Volda win

50.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.64

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Volda home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Brattvåg away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Volda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 21% / 29% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.18 goals for Volda and 1.64 for Brattvåg, a combined 3.82 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Volda win50%
Draw21%
Brattvåg win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–17.8%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 3–16.2%

Recent form

Volda

  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs NTNUI · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Orkla · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ranheim II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Strindheim · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Melhus · 2-1 (W)

Brattvåg

  • 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vidar · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sotra · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arendal · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eik-Tønsberg · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Kristiansund BK · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Volda win, at 50.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.