· Analysis updated 14:10 UTC
Volda vs Kvik Trondheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.88 expected goals for Volda and 1.67 for Kvik Trondheim, a combined total of 4.55. That distribution gives Volda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Volda win
62.4% probability
Expected goals
2.88 – 1.67
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Volda home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kvik Trondheim away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Volda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 17% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.88 goals for Volda and 1.67 for Kvik Trondheim, a combined 4.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.3%
- 3–17.0%
- 2–26.1%
- 3–25.9%
- 1–15.1%
Recent form
Volda
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs NTNUI · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Orkla · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ranheim II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Strindheim · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Melhus · 2-1 (W)
Kvik Trondheim
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Herd · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs NTNUI · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Strindheim · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranheim II · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Volda · 0-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strindheim | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 52 |
| 2 | Volda | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 52 |
| 3 | Melhus | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 41 |
| 4 | Byåsen | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Molde II | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | -11 | 35 |
| 6 | Rosenborg II | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 34 |
| 7 | Nardo | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 33 |
| 8 | Herd | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Spjelkavik | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -8 | 29 |
| 10 | NTNUI | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -16 | 28 |
| 11 | Ranheim II | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -17 | 26 |
| 12 | Kvik Trondheim | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -21 | 26 |
| 13 | Aalesund II | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -23 | 25 |
| 14 | Orkla | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -30 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Volda win, at 62.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.