· Analysis updated 08:43 UTC
Volda vs Strindheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Volda and 1.57 for Strindheim, a combined total of 3.47. That distribution gives Volda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Volda win
45.6% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.57
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Volda home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Strindheim away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Volda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 22% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Volda and 1.57 for Strindheim, a combined 3.47 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.3%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–05.9%
Recent form
Volda
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs NTNUI · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Orkla · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ranheim II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Strindheim · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Melhus · 2-1 (W)
Strindheim
- 2026-10-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg II · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nardo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Molde II · 10-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Volda · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kvik Trondheim · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · Volda 1-2 Strindheim (3. Division - Girone 2)
- 2021-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · Volda 2-2 Strindheim (3. Division - Girone 5)
3. Division - Girone 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strindheim | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | Volda | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 55 |
| 3 | Melhus | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Byåsen | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Molde II | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | -11 | 35 |
| 6 | Rosenborg II | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 34 |
| 7 | Nardo | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 8 | Herd | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Spjelkavik | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | NTNUI | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -16 | 29 |
| 11 | Ranheim II | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -17 | 26 |
| 12 | Kvik Trondheim | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -21 | 26 |
| 13 | Aalesund II | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -23 | 25 |
| 14 | Orkla | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -29 | 23 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Volda win, at 45.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.