Norway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · Matchweek 2014:00
VoldaWWLWW

2 – 2

Saturday, 19 September 2026

StrindheimWWWWW

· Analysis updated 08:43 UTC

Volda vs Strindheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Volda and 1.57 for Strindheim, a combined total of 3.47. That distribution gives Volda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Volda win

45.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.57

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Volda home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Strindheim away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Volda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 22% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.90 goals for Volda and 1.57 for Strindheim, a combined 3.47 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Volda win46%
Draw22%
Strindheim win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.3%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–05.9%

Recent form

Volda

  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs NTNUI · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Orkla · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ranheim II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Strindheim · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Melhus · 2-1 (W)

Strindheim

  • 2026-10-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg II · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nardo · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Molde II · 10-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Volda · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kvik Trondheim · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · Volda 1-2 Strindheim (3. Division - Girone 2)
  • 2021-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · Volda 2-2 Strindheim (3. Division - Girone 5)

3. Division - Girone 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Strindheim2517444355
2Volda2517444155
3Melhus2512672642
4Byåsen241158738
5Molde II241059-1135
6Rosenborg II2410410934
7Nardo25103121333
8Herd259511-1132
9Spjelkavik258512-1129
10NTNUI257810-1629
11Ranheim II247512-1726
12Kvik Trondheim247512-2126
13Aalesund II247413-2325
14Orkla256514-2923

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Volda win, at 45.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.