Zavolzhskiy Stadium · Analysis updated 08:26 UTC
Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Dinamo St. Petersburg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Volna Nizhegorodskaya and 1.05 for Dinamo St. Petersburg, a combined total of 2.33. That distribution gives Volna Nizhegorodskaya the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.5% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Volna Nizhegorodskaya home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dinamo St. Petersburg away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Volna Nizhegorodskaya to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 28% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.28 goals for Volna Nizhegorodskaya and 1.05 for Dinamo St. Petersburg, a combined 2.33 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.5%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–18.3%
Recent form
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Shumbrat · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Spartak Tambov · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-14T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo St. Petersburg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Avangard Kursk · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Saturn Ramenskoye · 0-2 (L)
Dinamo St. Petersburg
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zvezda St. Petersburg · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Torpedo Vladimir · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-14T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Irkutsk · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Vologda · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.