Panthessaliko Stadium · Referee Athanasios Tzilos, Greece · Analysis updated 16:34 UTC
Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.75 expected goals for Volos NFC and 1.25 for Olympiakos Piraeus, a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives Olympiakos Piraeus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Olympiakos Piraeus win
47.9% probability
Expected goals
0.75 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Volos NFC home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Olympiakos Piraeus away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Olympiakos Piraeus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 23% / 30% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.75 goals for Volos NFC and 1.25 for Olympiakos Piraeus, a combined 2.00 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–116.9%
- 0–013.5%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–210.5%
- 1–010.2%
Recent form
Volos NFC
- 2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Aris Thessalonikis · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs AEK Athens FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kalamata · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 1-1 (D)
Olympiakos Piraeus
- 2026-10-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Panathinaikos · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Levadiakos · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Jagiellonia · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs OFI · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Volos NFC · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | PAOK | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 6 | OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Olympiakos Piraeus win, at 47.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.