Panthessaliko Stadium · Analysis updated 15:32 UTC
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.65 expected goals for Volos NFC and 1.75 for Panathinaikos, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives Panathinaikos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Panathinaikos win
63.9% probability
Expected goals
0.65 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Volos NFC home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Panathinaikos away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
36%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
87%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–115.9%
- 0–213.9%
- 1–110.3%
- 0–09.1%
- 1–29.0%
Recent form
Volos NFC
- 2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Aris Thessalonikis · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs AEK Athens FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kalamata · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 1-1 (D)
Panathinaikos
- 2026-10-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Kalamata · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Kifisia · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Panetolikos · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-10T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Kifisia · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2025-12-14T19:00:00.000Z · Volos NFC 1-2 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
- 2025-11-01T16:00:00.000Z · Volos NFC 1-0 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
- 2025-02-16T15:00:00.000Z · Volos NFC 1-2 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
- 2024-11-03T15:00:00.000Z · Volos NFC 0-1 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
- 2023-12-20T17:00:00.000Z · Volos NFC 0-3 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
- 2023-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · Volos NFC 0-3 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
- 2023-04-26T15:00:00.000Z · Volos NFC 0-2 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
- 2023-04-02T15:00:00.000Z · Volos NFC 0-0 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
- 2023-02-18T15:00:00.000Z · Volos NFC 0-2 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
- 2023-01-11T14:30:00.000Z · Volos NFC 0-2 Panathinaikos (Cup)
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 6 | OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Kalamata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Panathinaikos win, at 63.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.