· Analysis updated 14:28 UTC
Voluntari II vs Agigea Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Voluntari II and 1.45 for Agigea, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Agigea the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.4% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Voluntari II home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Agigea away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Agigea to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 33% / 26% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Voluntari II and 1.45 for Agigea, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–17.6%
Recent form
Voluntari II
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja · 3-4 (L)
Agigea
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunarea Calarasi · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Înainte Modelu · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Braniştea · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Portul Constanta · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Lieşti · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 22 |
| 2 | Tunari | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Blejoi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Berca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Voința Crevedia | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Urban Titu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Râmnicu Sărat | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 11 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.