Romania · Liga III - Serie 5 · Group 5 - 1212:00
Voluntari IILDWLW

12:00 UTC

Friday, 6 November 2026

· Analysis updated 15:12 UTC

Voluntari II vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.57 expected goals for Voluntari II and 1.00 for Axi Adunații-Copăceni, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Voluntari II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Voluntari II win

50.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Voluntari II home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Axi Adunații-Copăceni away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Voluntari II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 25% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.57 goals for Voluntari II and 1.00 for Axi Adunații-Copăceni, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Voluntari II win51%
Draw25%
Axi Adunații-Copăceni win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 0–17.6%

Recent form

Voluntari II

  • 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja · 3-4 (L)

Axi Adunații-Copăceni

  • 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Omega Sport · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Progresul Spartac · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Alexandria · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Oxigen Bucuresti · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga III - Serie 5 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Omega Sport10730824
2LPS HD Clinceni106221120
3Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu105501020
4Alexandria10532418
5Progresul Mogosoaia10433-215
6Dinamo Bucureşti II10406-512
7Axi Adunații-Copăceni10406-1012
8Cetatea10253611
9FCSB II10316-610
10Oxigen Bucuresti10316-710
11Voluntari II10226-68
12Progresul Spartac10217-37

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Voluntari II win, at 50.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.