Romania · Liga III - Serie 3 · Group 3 - 2nd Phase - 211:00

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Friday, 10 April 2026

· Analysis updated 16:57 UTC

Voluntari II vs Axiopolis Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Voluntari II and 1.49 for Axiopolis, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Axiopolis the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.49

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Voluntari II home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Axiopolis away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Axiopolis to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 24% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Voluntari II and 1.49 for Axiopolis, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Voluntari II win38%
Draw24%
Axiopolis win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 1–07.6%

Recent form

Voluntari II

  • 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja · 3-4 (L)

Axiopolis

  • 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Fundulea · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Agricola Borcea · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Oţelul II · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunarea Calarasi · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Înainte Modelu · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga III - Serie 3 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flacăra Moreni87102022
2Tunari8521517
3Blejoi8422814
4Berca8413213
5Progresul Draganesti8332-112
6Voința Crevedia8314210
7Plopeni8314-510
8Pucioasa823319
9Urban Titu8233-59
10Râmnicu Sărat8224-108
11Viitorul Corbeanca8134-66
12Păuleşti8026-112

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.