Romania · Liga III - Serie 3 · Group 3 - 2nd Phase - 615:00

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Friday, 8 May 2026

· Analysis updated 11:53 UTC

Voluntari II vs Dinamo Bucureşti II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Voluntari II and 1.26 for Dinamo Bucureşti II, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Voluntari II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.26

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Voluntari II home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Dinamo Bucureşti II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Voluntari II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 26% / 33% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.44 goals for Voluntari II and 1.26 for Dinamo Bucureşti II, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Voluntari II win41%
Draw26%
Dinamo Bucureşti II win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 1–27.7%

Recent form

Voluntari II

  • 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja · 3-4 (L)

Dinamo Bucureşti II

  • 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Alexandria · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Oxigen Bucuresti · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs LPS HD Clinceni · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetatea · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga III - Serie 3 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flacăra Moreni109102928
2Tunari107211123
3Blejoi10523517
4Berca10523417
5Voința Crevedia10415213
6Progresul Draganesti10343-713
7Pucioasa10334112
8Urban Titu10334-512
9Râmnicu Sărat10334-912
10Plopeni10316-1010
11Viitorul Corbeanca10145-77
12Păuleşti10028-142

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.