Romania · Liga III - Serie 5 · Group 5 - 514:00
Voluntari IIDWLWL

2 – 3

Tuesday, 22 September 2026

· Analysis updated 19:19 UTC

Voluntari II vs LPS HD Clinceni Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Voluntari II and 1.90 for LPS HD Clinceni, a combined total of 3.26. That distribution gives LPS HD Clinceni the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

LPS HD Clinceni win

50.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Voluntari II home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • LPS HD Clinceni away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates LPS HD Clinceni to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 27% / 22% / 50% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.35 goals for Voluntari II and 1.90 for LPS HD Clinceni, a combined 3.26 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Voluntari II win27%
Draw22%
LPS HD Clinceni win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–19.9%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 0–27.0%
  • 2–16.7%

Recent form

Voluntari II

  • 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja · 3-4 (L)

LPS HD Clinceni

  • 2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Alexandria · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Oxigen Bucuresti · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 5-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga III - Serie 5 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is LPS HD Clinceni win, at 50.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.