Belgium · Cup · 5th Round15:00

1 – 3

Saturday, 23 August 2025

NinoveDWWLW

Molenveld · Analysis updated 13:28 UTC

Voorde Appelterre vs Ninove Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Voorde Appelterre vs Ninove in the Cup: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Voorde Appelterre home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Voorde Appelterre to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Voorde Appelterre and 1.18 for Ninove, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Voorde Appelterre or Ninove yet, so these numbers are a Cup scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Voorde Appelterre win44%
Draw26%
Ninove win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Voorde Appelterre

  • 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oudenaarde · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Torhout · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Diksmuide · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs VW Hamme · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs RFC Wetteren · 2-0 (W)

Ninove

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Dender110063
    2Lokeren-Temse110053
    3Albert Quévy-Mons110043
    4Seraing United110033
    5Liège110033
    6Excelsior Virton110033
    7Beerschot VA110023
    8Nijlen110023
    9Sporting Hasselt110023
    10Lommel United110023
    11Rochefort110013
    12Patro Eisden110013
    13AS Eupen110013
    14Francs Borains110013
    15Heist101001
    16Kortrijk101001
    17Habay-la-Neuve101001
    18Olympic Charleroi101001
    19K. Lierse S.K.1001-10
    20Roeselare Daisel1001-10
    21Diegem Sport1001-10
    22Merelbeke1001-10
    23Crossing Schaerbeek1001-20
    24Mandel United1001-20
    25Rupel Boom1001-20
    26Diksmuide1001-20
    27Knokke1001-30
    28Wellen1001-30
    29Oostkamp1001-30
    30Londerzeel1001-40
    31Houtvenne1001-50
    32Hoogstraten1001-60

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.