Suriname · Eerste Divisie · Matchweek 2623:00
VoorwaartsDLWD

0 – 1

Sunday, 3 May 2026

· Analysis updated 14:12 UTC

Voorwaarts vs Robin Hood Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Voorwaarts and 2.13 for Robin Hood, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Robin Hood the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Robin Hood win

61.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.08 – 2.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Voorwaarts home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Robin Hood away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Robin Hood to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 18% / 20% / 61% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.08 goals for Voorwaarts and 2.13 for Robin Hood, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Voorwaarts win18%
Draw20%
Robin Hood win61%

Double chance 1X

39%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 0–29.2%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 1–37.0%

Recent form

Voorwaarts

  • 2026-10-24T20:30:00.000Z · A vs Notch · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-21T23:00:00.000Z · A vs PVV · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-18T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Leo Victor · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-14T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Broki · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-13T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Inter Moengotapoe · 2-1 (W)

Robin Hood

  • 2026-10-25T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Leo Victor · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Broki · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T22:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Inter Wanica · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mount Pleasant Academy · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-28T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Slingerz · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Eerste Divisie table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leo Victor4310710
2Robin Hood320156
3Inter Moengotapoe220046
4Transvaal220046
5Notch412135
6Voorwaarts412115
7FC Inter Wanica2101-33
8Broki3021-32
9Flora2011-11
10Coronie Boys2002-40
11PVV4004-130

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Robin Hood win, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.