Austria · Landesliga - Wien · Wien - 2815:00

1 – 0

Sunday, 7 June 2026

Sportplatz WAF Gruabn · Analysis updated 10:35 UTC

Vorwärts Brigittenau vs First Vienna II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.76 expected goals for Vorwärts Brigittenau and 2.27 for First Vienna II, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives First Vienna II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

First Vienna II win

71.6% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.76 – 2.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • First Vienna II away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates First Vienna II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 11% / 18% / 72% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.76 goals for Vorwärts Brigittenau and 2.27 for First Vienna II, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 48%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

Vorwärts Brigittenau win11%
Draw18%
First Vienna II win72%

Double chance 1X

28%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

89%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 0–212.5%
  • 0–111.0%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–39.4%
  • 1–18.3%

Recent form

Vorwärts Brigittenau

    First Vienna II

    • 2026-06-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Red Star Penzing · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vorwärts Brigittenau · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-05-31T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FAC Wien · 3-4 (L)
    • 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria XIII · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-05-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Landesliga - Wien table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Wienerberg2822425470
    2Dinamo Helfort2718543059
    3LAC-Inter2816572153
    41980 Wien281297745
    5Red Star Penzing2612771043
    6First Vienna II2512672442
    7Austria XIII261088338
    8Gerasdorf Stammersdorf259610-733
    9Vorwärts Brigittenau279315-3430
    10Schwechat279216-429
    11Hellas Kagran287813-1929
    12Slovan HAC268315-1027
    13FAC Wien257513-726
    14Simmeringer SC275616-3321
    15Stadlau264715-1919
    16Mauerwerk11227-168

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is First Vienna II win, at 71.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

    It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

    A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.