· Analysis updated 13:32 UTC
Vratimov vs Hlučín Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Vratimov and 1.57 for Hlučín, a combined total of 3.42. That distribution gives Vratimov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.9% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.57
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vratimov home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hlučín away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vratimov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 22% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Vratimov and 1.57 for Hlučín, a combined 3.42 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.0%
Recent form
Vratimov
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Bílovec · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Břidličná · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bospor Bohumín · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Zabreh · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Opava II · 0-3 (L)
Hlučín
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nový Jičín · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Stonava · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Pustá Polom · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Valašské Meziříčí · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Bílovec · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 |
| 2 | Kravare | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Stonava | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Nový Jičín | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Opava II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Valašské Meziříčí | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 10 | Zabreh | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Pustá Polom | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Frydek-Mistek B | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -30 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.