· Analysis updated 13:16 UTC
Vratimov vs Kravare Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Vratimov and 1.73 for Kravare, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Vratimov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.4% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vratimov home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vratimov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 22% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Vratimov and 1.73 for Kravare, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 69%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.9%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.1%
Recent form
Vratimov
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Bílovec · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Břidličná · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bospor Bohumín · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Zabreh · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Opava II · 0-3 (L)
Kravare
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 |
| 2 | Kravare | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Stonava | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Nový Jičín | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Opava II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Valašské Meziříčí | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 10 | Zabreh | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Pustá Polom | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Frydek-Mistek B | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -30 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.