Denmark · 2. Division · Matchweek 711:30
VSK ÅrhusLWDDL

2 – 2

Sunday, 13 September 2026

B 93WWLDD

· Analysis updated 15:27 UTC

VSK Århus vs B 93 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for VSK Århus and 1.03 for B 93, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives VSK Århus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

VSK Århus win

68.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.45 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • VSK Århus home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • B 93 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates VSK Århus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 17% / 14% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.45 goals for VSK Århus and 1.03 for B 93, a combined 3.48 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

VSK Århus win69%
Draw17%
B 93 win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 1–17.8%
  • 3–07.6%

Recent form

VSK Århus

  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Skive · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Middelfart · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 2-2 (D)

B 93

  • 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs HIK · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Roskilde · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykobing FC106401422
2Roskilde10460818
3VSK Århus10532718
4Middelfart10451817
5B 9310433315
6Naestved10361215
7Skive10424114
8Fremad Amager10352-214
9Brabrand10235-69
10HIK10226-108
11FA 200010127-125
12Thisted FC10118-134

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is VSK Århus win, at 68.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.