Stadionul Sîngerei · Analysis updated 16:09 UTC
Vulturii Cutezători vs Speranis Nisporeni Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Vulturii Cutezători and 1.70 for Speranis Nisporeni, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Speranis Nisporeni the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Speranis Nisporeni win
52.0% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vulturii Cutezători home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Speranis Nisporeni away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Speranis Nisporeni to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 24% / 24% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for Vulturii Cutezători and 1.70 for Speranis Nisporeni, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.4%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–06.7%
Recent form
Vulturii Cutezători
- 2026-09-01T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Oguzsport · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zimbru II · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Univer Comrat · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartanii Selemet · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 3-1 (W)
Speranis Nisporeni
- 2025-05-28T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Saxan · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-05-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Victoria Bardar · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Stăuceni · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-05-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimp Comrat · 3-1 (W)
- 2025-04-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vulturii Cutezători · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2025-04-26T14:00:00.000Z · Vulturii Cutezători 0-2 Speranis Nisporeni (Liga 1)
- 2024-11-01T11:00:00.000Z · Vulturii Cutezători 0-0 Speranis Nisporeni (Liga 1)
- 2024-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · Vulturii Cutezători 0-4 Speranis Nisporeni (Liga 1)
- 2024-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · Vulturii Cutezători 0-1 Speranis Nisporeni (Liga 1)
Liga 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iskra | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 22 |
| 1 | Oguzsport | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Vulturii Cutezători | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Stăuceni | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Făleşti | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Zimbru II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 4 | FC National Ialoveni | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Univer Comrat | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 5 | Victoria Bardar | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 7 |
| 6 | Spartanii Selemet | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -30 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Speranis Nisporeni win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.