· Analysis updated 00:36 UTC
Vulturii Cutezători vs Zimbru II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.97 expected goals for Vulturii Cutezători and 1.75 for Zimbru II, a combined total of 4.72. That distribution gives Vulturii Cutezători the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Vulturii Cutezători win
62.5% probability
Expected goals
2.97 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vulturii Cutezători home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vulturii Cutezători to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 17% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.97 goals for Vulturii Cutezători and 1.75 for Zimbru II, a combined 4.72 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 85% and both teams to score at 78%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.9%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–26.0%
- 3–26.0%
- 4–15.1%
Recent form
Vulturii Cutezători
- 2026-09-01T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Oguzsport · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zimbru II · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Univer Comrat · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartanii Selemet · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 3-1 (W)
Zimbru II
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-16T11:00:00.000Z · Vulturii Cutezători 0-1 Zimbru II (Liga 1)
- 2026-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · Vulturii Cutezători 5-1 Zimbru II (Liga 1)
Liga 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iskra | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 22 |
| 1 | Oguzsport | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Vulturii Cutezători | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Stăuceni | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Făleşti | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Zimbru II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 4 | FC National Ialoveni | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Univer Comrat | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 5 | Victoria Bardar | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 7 |
| 6 | Spartanii Selemet | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -30 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vulturii Cutezători win, at 62.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.