· Analysis updated 04:19 UTC
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti vs Oltul Curtişoara Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Vulturii Fărcăşeşti and 1.46 for Oltul Curtişoara, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Vulturii Fărcăşeşti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti win
52.2% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.46
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Oltul Curtişoara away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vulturii Fărcăşeşti to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 21% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Vulturii Fărcăşeşti and 1.46 for Oltul Curtişoara, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 3–16.4%
- 1–26.4%
Recent form
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiul Petroşani · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Bascov · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Petrolul Hartiesti · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Academica Balș · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Minerul Lupeni · 2-1 (W)
Oltul Curtişoara
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrolul Hartiesti · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Academica Balș · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Minerul Lupeni · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Păușești · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | CS U Craiova II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Filiaşi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Jiul Petroşani | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Oltul Curtişoara | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Unirea Bascov | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Păușești | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Academica Balș | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Petrolul Hartiesti | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -32 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vulturii Fărcăşeşti win, at 52.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.