Stadion v Jiraskove ulici · Referee O. Pechanec · Analysis updated 13:51 UTC
Vysočina Jihlava vs Příbram Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Vysočina Jihlava and 1.16 for Příbram, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Vysočina Jihlava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vysočina Jihlava win
51.3% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.16
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vysočina Jihlava home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Příbram away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 9 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–08.4%
- 1–26.4%
Recent form
Vysočina Jihlava
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 3-0 (W)
Příbram
- 2026-09-20T11:15:00.000Z · A vs Kladno · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Žižkov · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-07T15:45:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 1-2 Příbram (FNL)
- 2026-06-27T09:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 3-1 Příbram (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2026-03-06T17:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 1-1 Příbram (FNL)
- 2025-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 2-1 Příbram (FNL)
- 2024-05-11T15:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 1-1 Příbram (FNL)
- 2023-10-27T16:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 2-1 Příbram (FNL)
- 2023-05-19T16:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 1-2 Příbram (FNL)
- 2022-10-29T12:30:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 0-3 Příbram (FNL)
- 2022-05-11T15:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 2-1 Příbram (FNL)
- 2021-11-20T12:30:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 1-1 Příbram (FNL)
FNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Ústí nad Labem | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dukla Praha | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Vysočina Jihlava | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Příbram | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Slavia Praha II | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Táborsko | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Vlašim | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Baník Ostrava II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Kladno | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Opava | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Viktoria Žižkov | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Prostějov | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Třinec | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vysočina Jihlava win, at 51.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.