Czech-Republic · FNL · Matchweek 1016:00

2 – 2

Friday, 9 October 2026

ProstějovDDDDD

Stadion v Jiraskove ulici · Referee L. Nehasil · Analysis updated 15:48 UTC

Vysočina Jihlava vs Prostějov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Vysočina Jihlava and 1.04 for Prostějov, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Vysočina Jihlava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Vysočina Jihlava win

55.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Vysočina Jihlava home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Prostějov away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Vysočina Jihlava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 23% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.80 goals for Vysočina Jihlava and 1.04 for Prostějov, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Vysočina Jihlava win55%
Draw23%
Prostějov win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 0–16.1%

Recent form

Vysočina Jihlava

  • 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 3-0 (W)

Prostějov

  • 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vysočina Jihlava · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Karviná118031124
2Vysočina Jihlava11623720
3Dukla Praha11623320
4Ústí nad Labem11542619
5Vlašim11533618
6Příbram11452217
7Baník Ostrava II11425314
8Táborsko11353014
9Viktoria Žižkov11425-714
10Slavia Praha II11344113
11Kladno11344-113
12Opava11344-313
13Arsenal Česká Lípa11335-612
14Prostějov11173-110
15Třinec11245-710
16Hanácká11137-146

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Vysočina Jihlava win, at 55.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.