Czech-Republic · FNL · Matchweek 916:00

3 – 2

Friday, 18 September 2026

Stadion v Jiraskove ulici · Referee M. Kubecka · Analysis updated 16:18 UTC

Vysočina Jihlava vs Slavia Praha II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Vysočina Jihlava and 1.43 for Slavia Praha II, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives Slavia Praha II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Vysočina Jihlava home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slavia Praha II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Vysočina Jihlava win34%
Draw26%
Slavia Praha II win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 2–17.9%

Recent form

Vysočina Jihlava

  • 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 3-0 (W)

Slavia Praha II

  • 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava II · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vlašim · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vysočina Jihlava · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Žižkov · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Labem · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-04-15T15:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 0-1 Slavia Praha II (FNL)
  • 2025-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 0-2 Slavia Praha II (FNL)
  • 2025-04-25T16:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 2-1 Slavia Praha II (FNL)
  • 2025-02-08T10:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 3-2 Slavia Praha II (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2024-09-29T08:15:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 0-2 Slavia Praha II (FNL)
  • 2023-05-14T08:15:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 2-7 Slavia Praha II (FNL)
  • 2023-02-04T10:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 2-1 Slavia Praha II (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2022-10-21T15:00:00.000Z · Vysočina Jihlava 1-0 Slavia Praha II (FNL)
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Karviná129031327
2Vysočina Jihlava12723923
3Dukla Praha12633321
4Ústí nad Labem12543419
5Vlašim12534418
6Příbram12462218
7Baník Ostrava II12435315
8Táborsko12363015
9Kladno12354-114
10Opava12354-314
11Viktoria Žižkov12426-814
12Slavia Praha II11344113
13Arsenal Česká Lípa12345-613
14Třinec12255-711
15Prostějov11173-110
16Hanácká12237-139

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.