· Analysis updated 02:20 UTC
Vysoké Mýto vs Pardubice II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.13 expected goals for Vysoké Mýto and 1.23 for Pardubice II, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Vysoké Mýto the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vysoké Mýto win
58.0% probability
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vysoké Mýto home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Pardubice II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vysoké Mýto to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.13 goals for Vysoké Mýto and 1.23 for Pardubice II, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–07.9%
- 1–07.5%
- 3–16.9%
Recent form
Vysoké Mýto
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Orlicí · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vykan · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Svitavy · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dvůr Králové · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Hlinsko · 3-2 (W)
Pardubice II
- 2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Zápy · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Velké Hamry · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Chrudim · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Benátky nad Jizerou · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vysoké Mýto win, at 58.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.