Vysoké Mýto vs Spartak Police n/Metují Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Vysoké Mýto and 1.50 for Spartak Police n/Metují, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Vysoké Mýto the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Vysoké Mýto win

49.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Vysoké Mýto home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Spartak Police n/Metují away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Vysoké Mýto win49%

Draw22%

Spartak Police n/Metují win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–19.1%
2–19.1%
1–26.8%
2–26.8%
3–16.0%

Recent form

Vysoké Mýto

2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Orlicí · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vykan · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Svitavy · 5-3 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dvůr Králové · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Hlinsko · 3-2 (W)

Spartak Police n/Metují

2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Dvůr Králové · 6-0 (W)
2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Hlinsko · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Hradec Králové · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Letohrad · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Chrudim II · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 2-0 Spartak Police n/Metují (4. liga - Divizie C)
2026-04-05T14:30:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 0-0 Spartak Police n/Metují (4. liga - Divizie C)
2025-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 3-0 Spartak Police n/Metují (4. liga - Divizie C)
2025-04-06T14:30:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 2-3 Spartak Police n/Metují (4. liga - Divizie C)
2024-09-07T15:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 2-1 Spartak Police n/Metují (4. liga - Divizie C)

4. liga - Divizie C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vysoké Mýto	12	9	3	0	18	30
2	Kosmonosy	12	9	1	2	20	28
3	Přepeře	12	9	0	3	20	27
4	Trutnov	12	8	1	3	10	25
5	Turnov	12	7	2	3	12	23
6	Ústí nad Orlicí	12	6	3	3	10	21
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	12	6	3	3	6	21
8	Spartak Police n/Metují	12	6	1	5	5	19
9	Kolín	12	4	3	5	1	15
10	Slavia Hradec Králové	12	4	2	6	-4	14
11	Dvůr Králové	12	4	2	6	-9	14
12	Hlinsko	12	4	1	7	-6	13
13	Vykan	12	3	2	7	-4	11
14	Svitavy	12	1	2	9	-20	5
15	Letohrad	12	1	2	9	-24	5
16	Chrudim II	12	0	2	10	-35	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Vysoké Mýto win, at 49.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.