Vysoké Mýto vs Trutnov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Vysoké Mýto and 1.68 for Trutnov, a combined total of 4.27. That distribution gives Vysoké Mýto the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Vysoké Mýto win

57.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.68

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Vysoké Mýto home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Trutnov away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Vysoké Mýto win58%

Draw18%

Trutnov win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals80%

Over 3.5 goals62%

Both teams to score75%

Correct score

2–17.9%
3–16.8%
2–26.6%
1–16.1%
3–25.7%

Recent form

Vysoké Mýto

2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Orlicí · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vykan · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Svitavy · 5-3 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dvůr Králové · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Hlinsko · 3-2 (W)

Trutnov

2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kolín · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Orlicí · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vykan · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Svitavy · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Dvůr Králové · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 0-0 Trutnov (4. liga - Divizie C)
2025-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 2-0 Trutnov (4. liga - Divizie C)
2025-03-23T14:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 2-1 Trutnov (4. liga - Divizie C)
2024-08-24T15:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 3-0 Trutnov (4. liga - Divizie C)
2024-06-08T13:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 2-2 Trutnov (4. liga - Divizie C)
2023-11-11T13:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 2-3 Trutnov (4. liga - Divizie C)
2023-04-08T14:30:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 2-2 Trutnov (4. liga - Divizie C)
2022-09-10T15:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 0-0 Trutnov (4. liga - Divizie C)
2022-04-16T15:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 1-1 Trutnov (4. liga - Divizie C)
2021-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · Vysoké Mýto 2-1 Trutnov (4. liga - Divizie C)

4. liga - Divizie C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vysoké Mýto	12	9	3	0	18	30
2	Přepeře	12	9	0	3	20	27
3	Kosmonosy	11	8	1	2	17	25
4	Trutnov	12	8	1	3	10	25
5	Turnov	12	7	2	3	12	23
6	Ústí nad Orlicí	12	6	3	3	10	21
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	12	6	3	3	6	21
8	Spartak Police n/Metují	11	5	1	5	-1	16
9	Kolín	11	4	3	4	2	15
10	Dvůr Králové	11	4	2	5	-3	14
11	Slavia Hradec Králové	12	4	2	6	-4	14
12	Hlinsko	12	4	1	7	-6	13
13	Vykan	12	3	2	7	-4	11
14	Svitavy	11	1	2	8	-17	5
15	Letohrad	11	0	2	9	-25	2
16	Chrudim II	12	0	2	10	-35	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Vysoké Mýto win, at 57.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.