Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 711:00

3 – 2

Saturday, 28 March 2026

· Analysis updated 20:43 UTC

Wacker Burghausen U19 vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Wacker Burghausen U19 and 1.73 for Stuttgarter K'rs U19, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Wacker Burghausen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wacker Burghausen U19 win

51.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Wacker Burghausen U19 home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Stuttgarter K'rs U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wacker Burghausen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 20% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.35 goals for Wacker Burghausen U19 and 1.73 for Stuttgarter K'rs U19, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wacker Burghausen U19 win52%
Draw20%
Stuttgarter K'rs U19 win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 2–18.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 3–16.3%
  • 1–25.9%

Recent form

Wacker Burghausen U19

  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-05-14T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt U19 · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Kickers Offenbach U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 1-0 (W)

Stuttgarter K'rs U19

  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulm U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Augsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 0-9 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wacker Burghausen U19 win, at 51.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.