Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 510:00

4 – 1

Saturday, 7 March 2026

· Analysis updated 19:23 UTC

Wacker Burghausen U19 vs Unterhaching U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Wacker Burghausen U19 and 1.60 for Unterhaching U19, a combined total of 3.32. That distribution gives Wacker Burghausen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Wacker Burghausen U19 home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Unterhaching U19 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wacker Burghausen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 23% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.72 goals for Wacker Burghausen U19 and 1.60 for Unterhaching U19, a combined 3.32 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wacker Burghausen U19 win41%
Draw23%
Unterhaching U19 win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.2%

Recent form

Wacker Burghausen U19

  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-05-14T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt U19 · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Kickers Offenbach U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 1-0 (W)

Unterhaching U19

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs 1860 München U19 · 1-7 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayern München U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ingolstadt U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.